MEM 109-124 HOU, November 5, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat MEM 124-109, but MEM's shots were worth 124.7 points to HOU's 121.5.

MEM 109-124 HOU, November 5, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	89	81	96.4	28/35	28.3	109	124.7
HOU	101	109	108.5	15/18	13.0	124	121.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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