MEM 106-114 DET, November 3, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DET beat MEM 114-106, but MEM's shots were worth 114.6 points to DET's 109.9.

MEM 106-114 DET, November 3, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MEM878494.122/2520.5106114.6
DET839488.120/2921.7114109.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.