LAL 130-120 MIA, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat MIA 130-120, and LAL's shots were worth 124.0 points to MIA's 123.8.

LAL 130-120 MIA, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	95	111	105.9	19/23	18.1	130	124.0
MIA	84	95	96.1	25/36	27.6	120	123.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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