PHX 130-118 SAS, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHX beat SAS 130-118, but SAS's shots were worth 132.3 points to PHX's 102.5.

PHX 130-118 SAS, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	79	111	85.3	19/22	17.2	130	102.5
SAS	98	100	114.2	18/23	18.1	118	132.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.