CLE 117-109 ATL, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat ATL 117-109, and CLE's shots were worth 125.9 points to ATL's 121.3.

CLE 117-109 ATL, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	97	100	111.2	17/18	14.6	117	125.9
ATL	77	84	93.0	25/35	28.3	109	121.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.