CHA 126-103 UTA, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHA beat UTA 126-103, but UTA's shots were worth 120.8 points to CHA's 110.8.

CHA 126-103 UTA, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	88	104	93.3	22/22	17.5	126	110.8
UTA	88	79	97.1	24/29	23.7	103	120.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.