BOS 101-128 HOU, November 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat BOS 128-101, but BOS's shots were worth 112.9 points to HOU's 106.4.

BOS 101-128 HOU, November 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BOS10394107.27/75.7101112.9
HOU7710379.825/3526.6128106.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.