WAS 94-125 ORL, November 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat WAS 125-94, and ORL's shots were worth 121.0 points to WAS's 117.3.

WAS 94-125 ORL, November 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS9887105.87/1511.594117.3
ORL92106104.219/2216.7125121.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.