CHA 105-122 MIN, November 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat CHA 122-105, but CHA's shots were worth 115.0 points to MIN's 113.9.

CHA 105-122 MIN, November 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	86	81	93.7	24/27	21.2	105	115.0
MIN	87	111	103.6	11/14	10.4	122	113.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.