MIL 133-135 SAC, November 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAC beat MIL 135-133, and SAC's shots were worth 125.0 points to MIL's 111.4.

MIL 133-135 SAC, November 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIL8211389.220/3122.2133111.4
SAC8710092.735/4032.3135125.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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