CHA 107-123 ORL, October 30, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat CHA 123-107, and ORL's shots were worth 113.1 points to CHA's 100.4.

CHA 107-123 ORL, October 30, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHA	83	95	88.3	12/15	12.1	107	100.4
ORL	87	106	94.7	17/23	18.4	123	113.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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