MIN 115-116 LAL, October 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat MIN 116-115, but MIN's shots were worth 108.5 points to LAL's 106.6.

MIN 115-116 LAL, October 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	82	97	91.5	18/22	17.0	115	108.5
LAL	83	101	89.5	15/22	17.1	116	106.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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