UTA 134-136 POR, October 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. POR beat UTA 136-134, but UTA's shots were worth 127.2 points to POR's 123.0.

UTA 134-136 POR, October 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
UTA	84	93	87.0	41/49	40.1	134	127.2
POR	96	113	101.6	23/27	21.4	136	123.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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