DEN 122-88 NOP, October 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat NOP 122-88, but NOP's shots were worth 115.9 points to DEN's 115.5.

DEN 122-88 NOP, October 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	90	110	104.2	12/14	11.4	122	115.5
NOP	85	71	93.4	17/29	22.4	88	115.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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