TOR 121-139 HOU, October 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat TOR 139-121, and HOU's shots were worth 131.4 points to TOR's 111.2.

TOR 121-139 HOU, October 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	85	107	95.9	14/19	15.3	121	111.2
HOU	87	113	105.3	26/34	26.1	139	131.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.