MIL 121-111 NYK, October 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat NYK 121-111, but NYK's shots were worth 117.8 points to MIL's 108.5.

MIL 121-111 NYK, October 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	79	100	90.8	21/24	17.7	121	108.5
NYK	92	91	98.9	20/23	18.9	111	117.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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