MIA 144-117 CHA, October 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat CHA 144-117, and MIA's shots were worth 127.0 points to CHA's 121.6.

MIA 144-117 CHA, October 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	96	124	110.0	20/22	17.0	144	127.0
CHA	90	98	103.1	19/23	18.4	117	121.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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