WAS 134-139 PHI, October 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHI beat WAS 139-134, and PHI's shots were worth 134.0 points to WAS's 128.5.

WAS 134-139 PHI, October 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
WAS107119112.415/2116.1134128.5
PHI100107102.832/3731.1139134.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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