LAL 108-122 POR, October 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat LAL 122-108, and POR's shots were worth 122.0 points to LAL's 113.3.

LAL 108-122 POR, October 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAL868792.321/2620.9108113.3
POR103108110.014/1512.0122122.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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