GSW 131-118 MEM, October 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat MEM 131-118, but MEM's shots were worth 115.3 points to GSW's 112.6.

GSW 131-118 MEM, October 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	83	107	89.0	24/30	23.5	131	112.6
MEM	88	92	93.0	26/28	22.3	118	115.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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