UTA 138-134 PHX, October 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UTA beat PHX 138-134, and UTA's shots were worth 142.2 points to PHX's 136.1.

UTA 138-134 PHX, October 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
UTA108104112.134/3630.2138142.2
PHX106110110.824/3125.3134136.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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