DAL 94-101 OKC, October 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat DAL 101-94, and OKC's shots were worth 107.6 points to DAL's 106.1.

DAL 94-101 OKC, October 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	87	78	89.8	16/22	16.3	94	106.1
OKC	90	90	96.9	11/13	10.6	101	107.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.