SAS 121-103 TOR, October 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAS beat TOR 121-103, but TOR's shots were worth 111.4 points to SAS's 107.0.

SAS 121-103 TOR, October 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	67	91	78.8	30/36	28.2	121	107.0
TOR	79	86	93.7	17/23	17.7	103	111.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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