HOU 137-109 BKN, October 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat BKN 137-109, and HOU's shots were worth 114.5 points to BKN's 107.9.

HOU 137-109 BKN, October 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HOU8511494.723/2619.8137114.5
BKN869794.212/1813.7109107.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.