CHI 128-123 ATL, October 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. CHI beat ATL 128-123, but ATL's shots were worth 131.8 points to CHI's 124.4.

CHI 128-123 ATL, October 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	92	112	107.7	16/21	16.7	128	124.4
ATL	98	109	115.6	14/20	16.2	123	131.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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