LAC 114-107 POR, October 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat POR 114-107, but POR's shots were worth 127.2 points to LAC's 99.8.

LAC 114-107 POR, October 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	80	100	87.2	14/15	12.6	114	99.8
POR	92	79	100.7	28/34	26.6	107	127.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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