MIN 114-110 IND, October 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat IND 114-110, but IND's shots were worth 123.7 points to MIN's 121.8.

MIN 114-110 IND, October 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	84	88	94.2	26/37	27.6	114	121.8
IND	91	92	103.4	18/27	20.4	110	123.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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