MIA 115-107 NYK, October 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat NYK 115-107, but NYK's shots were worth 125.0 points to MIA's 120.6.

MIA 115-107 NYK, October 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MIA838996.226/3124.4115120.6
NYK9891108.016/2116.9107125.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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