CLE 118-113 MIL, October 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat MIL 118-113, and CLE's shots were worth 123.5 points to MIL's 111.3.

CLE 118-113 MIL, October 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
CLE879097.228/3526.3118123.5
MIL799391.120/2820.2113111.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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