DET 119-113 BOS, October 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DET beat BOS 119-113, and DET's shots were worth 121.2 points to BOS's 111.6.

DET 119-113 BOS, October 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DET938794.532/3626.6119121.2
BOS949592.318/2419.3113111.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.