MEM 128-103 IND, October 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat IND 128-103, and MEM's shots were worth 135.5 points to IND's 115.9.

MEM 128-103 IND, October 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MEM97103109.225/3226.3128135.5
IND898697.417/2318.6103115.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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