PHI 125-121 CHA, October 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat CHA 125-121, but CHA's shots were worth 125.0 points to PHI's 124.0.

PHI 125-121 CHA, October 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHI	87	100	97.6	25/32	26.4	125	124.0
CHA	89	102	102.4	19/28	22.6	121	125.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.