ATL 100-117 OKC, October 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat ATL 117-100, and OKC's shots were worth 121.3 points to ATL's 107.6.

ATL 100-117 OKC, October 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	85	86	91.9	14/21	15.8	100	107.6
OKC	93	100	106.0	17/19	15.3	117	121.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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