SAC 105-104 UTA, October 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat UTA 105-104, but UTA's shots were worth 102.1 points to SAC's 95.1.

SAC 105-104 UTA, October 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	83	94	83.1	11/15	12.0	105	95.1
UTA	86	89	87.4	15/17	14.6	104	102.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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