DAL 107-117 WAS, October 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. WAS beat DAL 117-107, but DAL's shots were worth 120.2 points to WAS's 119.5.

DAL 107-117 WAS, October 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	88	86	99.6	21/27	20.6	107	120.2
WAS	90	97	97.2	20/29	22.2	117	119.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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