MEM 114-146 MIA, October 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat MEM 146-114, and MIA's shots were worth 134.4 points to MEM's 122.9.

MEM 114-146 MIA, October 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	95	89	100.4	25/28	22.5	114	122.9
MIA	102	129	117.4	17/22	16.9	146	134.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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