TOR 116-122 MIL, October 24, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat TOR 122-116, and MIL's shots were worth 116.6 points to TOR's 112.0.

TOR 116-122 MIL, October 24, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	85	95	86.7	21/32	25.3	116	112.0
MIL	90	108	98.8	14/25	17.8	122	116.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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