PHX 120-116 SAC, October 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. PHX beat SAC 120-116, and PHX's shots were worth 125.2 points to SAC's 109.6.

PHX 120-116 SAC, October 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	95	100	102.5	20/28	22.7	120	125.2
SAC	94	103	91.5	13/23	18.1	116	109.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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