MIL 133-120 WAS, October 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIL beat WAS 133-120, and MIL's shots were worth 128.5 points to WAS's 116.1.

MIL 133-120 WAS, October 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIL	98	118	114.6	15/19	13.9	133	128.5
WAS	98	109	101.2	11/19	15.0	120	116.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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