BOS 116-117 PHI, October 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat BOS 117-116, but BOS's shots were worth 116.6 points to PHI's 112.3.

BOS 116-117 PHI, October 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	91	93	95.3	23/26	21.3	116	116.6
PHI	85	94	87.9	23/30	24.4	117	112.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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