LAC 107-112 MEM, November 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat LAC 112-107, but LAC's shots were worth 110.5 points to MEM's 107.9.

LAC 107-112 MEM, November 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC898893.019/2117.6107110.5
MEM889591.417/2216.5112107.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.