No. LAL beat DAL 129-119, but DAL's shots were worth 111.7 points to LAL's 103.7.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 76 | 108 | 83.1 | 21/26 | 20.7 | 129 | 103.7 |
| DAL | 91 | 102 | 96.4 | 17/20 | 15.3 | 119 | 111.7 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.