DEN 136-139 SAS, November 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat DEN 139-136, and SAS's shots were worth 123.6 points to DEN's 120.4.

DEN 136-139 SAS, November 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DEN9111296.124/3024.3136120.4
SAS9410998.030/3225.6139123.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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