OKC 123-119 PHX, November 28, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat PHX 123-119, and OKC's shots were worth 124.5 points to PHX's 121.1.

OKC 123-119 PHX, November 28, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC8799100.824/2823.6123124.5
PHX9299101.620/2419.5119121.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.