GSW 100-104 HOU, November 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat GSW 104-100, and HOU's shots were worth 118.6 points to GSW's 106.6.

GSW 100-104 HOU, November 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	82	82	89.1	18/21	17.4	100	106.6
HOU	99	89	100.3	15/24	18.3	104	118.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.