NOP 128-133 MEM, November 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MEM beat NOP 133-128, and MEM's shots were worth 120.8 points to NOP's 118.3.

NOP 128-133 MEM, November 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	101	119	110.6	9/10	7.7	128	118.3
MEM	97	121	109.8	12/14	11.0	133	120.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.