BOS 117-114 DET, November 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BOS beat DET 117-114, but DET's shots were worth 120.8 points to BOS's 107.0.

BOS 117-114 DET, November 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BOS879687.321/2419.6117107.0
DET938593.029/3627.8114120.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.