PHI 103-144 ORL, November 25, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat PHI 144-103, and ORL's shots were worth 144.7 points to PHI's 113.3.

PHI 103-144 ORL, November 25, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
PHI828395.220/2218.1103113.3
ORL101121122.523/2822.1144144.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.