GSW 123-127 POR, November 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat GSW 127-123, and POR's shots were worth 125.8 points to GSW's 112.2.

GSW 123-127 POR, November 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	83	97	87.8	26/30	24.4	123	112.2
POR	88	100	101.2	27/32	24.7	127	125.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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