DAL 118-115 NOP, November 21, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. DAL beat NOP 118-115, but NOP's shots were worth 121.2 points to DAL's 117.7.

DAL 118-115 NOP, November 21, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
DAL849695.922/2821.8118117.7
NOP919196.624/3124.5115121.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.